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China Coal Cost Analysis in 2022 and Forecast in 2023-2025

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    Introduction

    China's coal supply guarantee policies since 2021 bear fruit, with long-term contracts advancing steadily and coal prices gradually returning to a reasonable range. Under the constraints of carbon peak & carbon neutrality goal, the proportion of coal consumption will continue to fall in China's energy mix in the future. The declined prosperity of the coal industry builds up the operating pressure on coal enterprises. The 2023-2025 is a crucial period for China's carbon emission reductions, as well as economic and energy structure adjustment during the 14th Five-Year Plan period. Coal miners are facing a more complex environment, thus highlighting the significance of coal cost research.

    Introduction

    Outline

    Based on Fenwei's exclusive coal cost database, we have organized coal cost experts and project teams to conduct extensive research on coal cost in 2022, analyzing the main factors affecting the cost change and forecasting the coal cost trends in 2023-2025. The results are presented in Fenwei's report - China Coal Cost Analysis in 2022 and Forecast in 2023-2025, helping our customers understand the whole-process coal cost from production, washing, transportation to delivery at port, as well as its changing trends in the future.


    1 Overview (historical data for 5 years, forecast data for 3 years)
    1.1 Raw coal all-in cost
    China's raw coal all-in cost during 2018-2025
    1.2 Commercial coal FOB cost
    China's commercial coal FOB cost during 2018-2025
    1.3 Cost breakdown
    1.3.1 Breakdown of raw coal all-in cost
    1.3.2 Breakdown of commercial coal FOB cost
    2 China's Coal Cost Analysis by Coal Type in 2022 (comparison of 2-year data)
    2.1 Sample selection and cost structure
    2.1.1 Sample selection
    2.1.2 Cost structure
    2.2 Thermal Coal
    2.2.1 Raw coal all-in cost by province
    2.2.2 Raw coal all-in cost breakdown
    2.2.2.1 Material fee
    2.2.2.2 Wages and welfares
    2.2.2.3 Power cost
    2.2.2.4 Resource tax
    2.2.2.5 Financial, administration and selling expenses
    2.2.3 Raw coal all-in cost curve
    ? By province
    ? By mine
    2.2.4 Commercial coal FOB cost
    2.2.5 Commercial coal FOB cost curve
    ? By province
    ? By mine
    2.3 Coking coal, PHCC
    2.3.1 Washed coal ex-plant cost
    2.3.2 Washed coal ex-plant cost breakdown
    2.3.2.1 Material fee
    2.3.2.2 Wages and welfares
    2.3.2.3 Power cost
    2.3.2.4 Resource tax
    2.3.2.5 Financial, administration and selling expenses
    2.3.2.6 Value of middlings
    2.3.3 Washed coal ex-plant cost curve
    2.3.4 Commercial coal FOB cost
    2.3.5 Commercial coal FOB cost curve
    ? By province
    ? By mine
    3 China's Coal Cost Forecast by Coal Type during 2023-2025 (forecast data for 3 years)
    3.1 Forecast methodology
    3.2 Thermal coal
    3.2.1 Raw coal all-in cost by province
    3.2.2 Raw coal all-in cost breakdown
    3.2.3 Raw coal all-in cost curve
    ? By province
    ? By mine
    3.2.4 Commercial coal FOB cost
    3.2.5 Commercial coal FOB cost curve
    ? By province
    ? By mine
    3.3 Coking coal
    3.3.1 Washed coal ex-plant cost
    3.3.2 Washed coal ex-plant cost breakdown
    3.3.3 Washed coal ex-plant cost curve
    ? By province
    ? By mine
    3.3.4 Commercial coal FOB cost
    3.3.5 Commercial coal FOB cost curve
    ? By province
    ? By mine