• 2017 China Coal Industry Supply-side Reform and 2018-2020 Capacity Forecast

  • Cycle of publication: Annual

    Date of completion: Jan, 2018

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SUMMARY

The effect of coal industry supply-side reform themed on de-capacity and reduction production in 2016 exceeded the expectation while in the deepening year of the reform in 2017, how is the overall situation of China coal capacity? How many coal capacities have been closed and withdrawn by different provinces? How does coal market perform in terms of supply & demand, price, and imports & exports? In the medium and long term, what capacities will be gradually shut down in 2018-2020 and what newly-added capacities will be put into operation? What impact will supply-side reform bring about to the development of the coal industry?

In response to these issues concerned by people in various sectors, Fenwei is compiling 2017 China Coal Industry Supply-side Reform and 2018-2020 Capacity Forecast presented in PPT.

INTRODUCTION

1.  Brief Review of China Coal Industry Supply-side Reform in 2016

     1.1  China coal industry supply-side reform policies and implementation effect

           1.1.1  Policy contents – de-capacity and reduction production based on 276 workdays

           1.1.2  The effectiveness of policy implementation

                    —— The performance of de-capacity – closed and exit capacities (in whole China, by region and by coal type)

                    —— Coal capacity at 2017-end (thermal coal, coking coal)

                    —— Changes of coal output

     1.2  Changes of the coal industry brought by the implementation of the supply-side reform policy

                  1.2.1  Changes in coal mine scale and capacity distribution

           1.2.2  Changes in market supply and demand

           1.2.3  Changes in coal price

           1.2.4  Changes in coal imports & exports and price of imported coal

2.  China Coal Industry Supply-side Reform Policies in 2017 and Evaluation of Implementation Effect

     2.1  Requirements from supply-side reform policies

                   2.1.1  Policy contents – to continue de-capacity and not execute 276-workday policy

            2.1.2  De-capacity targets by province, city and autonomous region

     2.2  Implementation effect of supply-side reform policies

                   2.2.1  The performance of de-capacity – closed and exit capacities (in whole China, by region and by coal type)

            2.2.2  Changes of coal output

            2.2.3  Changes in de-capacity policy implementation

     2.3  Changes in the coal industry brought by the implementation of the supply-side reform policy

            2.3.1  Changes in coal mine scale and capacity distribution

            2.3.2  Changes in market supply and demand

            2.3.3  Changes in coal price

            2.3.4  Changes in coal imports & exports and price of imported coal

            2.3.5  Changes in coal transport pattern

3.  China Coal Capacity Status Quo at 2017-end

     3.1  Total coal capacity

                  3.1.1  Coal capacity in whole China

           3.1.2  Coal capacity by region

     3.2  Thermal coal capacity

                  3.2.1  Thermal coal capacity of operating, built-up, constructing, and suspended constructingcoal mines by region

           3.2.2  Total capacity of thermal coal

           3.2.3  Effective supply capacity of thermal coal

     3.3  Coking coal capacity

           3.3.1  Coking coal capacity of operating, built-up, constructing, and suspended constructing coal mines by region

           3.3.2  Total capacity of coking coal

           3.3.3  Effective supply capacity of coking coal

4.  2018-2020 China Coal Industry Supply-side Reform and Capacity Forecast

     4.1  Emphasis of 2018-2020 coal industry supply-side reform and analysis of implementation Strength

     4.2  De-capacity target forecast

                   4.2.1  De-capacity target in whole China

            4.2.2  De-capacity target decomposition by region

     4.3  Thermal coal capacity forecast

            4.3.1  Closed and exit capacities by region

            4.3.2  Thermal coal capacity of operating, built-up, constructing, and suspended constructing coal mines by region

            4.3.3  Total capacity of thermal coal

            4.3.4  Effective supply capacity forecast of thermal coal

     4.4  Coking coal capacity forecast

            4.4.1  Closed and exit capacities by region

            4.4.2  Coking coal capacity of operating, built-up, constructing, and suspended constructing coal mines by region

            4.4.3  Total capacity of coking coal

            4.4.4  Effective supply capacity forecast of coking coal

     4.5  Total coal capacity forecast

            4.5.1  Coal capacity of operating, built-up, constructing and suspended constructing coal mines by region

            4.5.2  Coal effective supply capacity forecast

5.  Mid-to-long Term Impact of Supply-side Reform on China Coal Industry

     5.1  Impact on coal supply capacity

     5.2  Impact on industrial concentration

     5.3  Impact on resource exploitation and utilization efficiency

     5.4  Impact on safety production of coal mines

     5.5  Impact on transformation and upgrading of coal enterprises and optimization of industrial structure

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