• 2018 China Coal Cost Change Study and 2019-2023 Forecast

  • Cycle of publication: Annual

    Date of completion: Dec, 2018

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SUMMARY

Since the introduction of supply-side reforms in 2016, remarkable achievements have been made in coal industry. Coal output reduced substantially, coal prices rebounded rapidly and profitability of coal producers have been improving. Under this background, coal producers have gradually increased their investment to make up for insufficient equipment & safety input and delinquent wages & social security, leading coal costs to see a significant change. Meanwhile, the operation of new efficient mines and the closure of backward mines also have an impact on the overall costs.

Fenwei Energy is timely releasing "2018 China Coal Cost Change Study and 2019-2023 Forecast" based on its own mine cost database and extensive field investigations, to analyze and forecast cost changes during the entire process from extraction, preparation & washing to transportation to consuming regions.

INTRODUCTION

1.  2018 China Coal Cost Change Analysis

     1.1  Cost influencing factor analysis in main producing areas

            1.1.1  Impact of the advancement of coal supply-side reforms

            1.1.2  Impact of escalating safety and environmental requirements and frequent inspections

            1.1.3  Changes of labor wages, raw material and energy costs

            1.1.4  Changes of sales, management and financial expenses

     1.2  Production and washing cost change in main producing areas by coal typewith cost curves

            1.2.1  Thermal coal

            1.2.2  Coking coal

            1.2.3  PCI coal

            1.2.4  Chemical coal

     1.3  Coal transport cost change (typical routes)

            1.3.1  Roadway

            1.3.2  Railway

            1.3.3  Waterway

     1.4  Cost analysis of long-haul transport to consuming areas in Central, East and South Chinawith cost curves

            1.4.1  Thermal coal

            1.4.2  Coking coal

            1.4.3  PCI coal

            1.4.4  Chemical coal

2.  2019-2023 China Coal Cost Change Trend Analysis

     2.1  Forecast methods

     2.2  Coal cost influencing factor forecast

            2.2.1  Policies - supply-side reforms, safety, environmental protection, taxes…

            2.2.2  Capacity scale of a single mine

            2.2.3  Resources and mining conditions

            2.2.4  Labor, raw material and energy costs

            2.2.5  Sales, management and financial expenses

     2.3  Coal cost forecast in main producing areas (raw coal, washed coal)with cost curves

            2.3.1  Thermal coal

            2.3.2  Coking coal

            2.3.3  PCI coal

            2.3.4  Chemical coal

     2.4  Coal transport cost influencing factor analysis and forecast (typical routes)

            2.4.1  Roadway

            2.4.2  Railway

            2.4.3  Waterway

     2.5  Cost forecast of long-haul transport to consuming areas in Central, East and South Chinawith cost curves

            2.5.1  Thermal coal

            2.5.2  Coking coal

            2.5.3  PCI coal

            2.5.4  Chemical coal

3.  Conclusions

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