• 2022 China Thermal Coal Market Study and 2023 Forecast

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SUMMARY

In 2022, China continues to promote the supply guarantee and price stability policies, and raise the fulfillments of long-term coal contracts, maintaining high inventory levels at end users. Amid disruptions from the pandemic, high temperature, weak hydropower and Russia-Ukraine conflict the contradiction between supply and demand is not prominent thanks to strong supply, ensuring domestic thermal coal market to run stable overall.

INTRODUCTION


In 2022, China continues to promote the supply guarantee and price stability policies, and raise the fulfillments of long-term coal contracts, maintaining high inventory levels at end users. Amid disruptions from the pandemic, high temperature, weak hydropower and Russia-Ukraine conflict the contradiction between supply and demand is not prominent thanks to strong supply, ensuring domestic thermal coal market to run stable overall. There are still many uncertainties for thermal coal market in 2023. How will the coal industrial policies evolve? What changing trend of supply and demand structure will demonstrate? How will the prices move forward? These are worthy of in-depth study.

Fenwei is producing “2022 China Thermal Coal Market Study and 2023 Outlook”, to review and forecast important policies affecting coal industry development and market operation, and also provide detailed analysis and forecast for 2023 from the perspectives of macro and industrial environments, demand, supply, price, logistics, import & export, etc.

The outline of the report is as follows.

1    China Macro Economy Review and Outlook
    1.1    China's macro economy in stable recovery in 2022
    1.2    2023 macro economy development outlook
    1.3    Industrial impact from macro economy

2    2022 Coal Industry Policy Review and 2023 Developing Trend
    2.1    Coal capacity release policies
    2.2    Safety and environmental policies
        2.2.1    Safety inspection policies
        2.2.2    Environmental inspection and other policies
        2.2.3    Interpretation on Air Pollution Treatment Program in Beijing, Tianjin, Hebei and Surrounding Areas during the Autumn and Winter
        2.2.4    Safety and environmental policies forecast in 2023
    2.3    Coal import policies
        2.3.1    2022 import restriction/easing policy review
        2.3.2    2023 import policy developing trend forecast
    2.4    Thermal coal supply guarantee and price cap policies
        2.4.1    Supply guarantee policies
        2.4.2    Price cap policies
    2.5    Impact from carbon peak and carbon neutrality ("dual carbon")
        2.5.1    National and provincial "dual carbon" policies
        2.5.2    Impact analysis
3    2022 China Thermal Coal Demand Analysis and 2023 Forecast
    3.1    2022 China thermal coal demand analysis
    3.2    Power sector
        3.2.1    2022 thermal coal demand
        3.2.2    2022 power industry operation
        3.2.3    2023 demand forecast
    3.3    Iron and steel industry
        3.3.1    2022 thermal coal demand
        3.3.2    2023 demand forecast
    3.4    Building materials industry
        3.4.1    2022 thermal coal demand
        3.4.2    2023 demand forecast
    3.5    Coal chemical industry
        3.5.1    2022 thermal coal demand
        3.5.2    2023 demand forecast
    3.6    Heating supply and other industries
        3.6.1    2022 thermal coal demand
        3.6.2    2023 demand forecast
    3.7    2023 total thermal coal demand forecast

4    2022 China Thermal Coal Supply Analysis and 2023 Forecast
    4.1    Thermal coal capacity analysis and forecast
        4.1.1    2022 total thermal coal capacity
        4.1.2    2022 effective thermal coal capacity and composition
        4.1.3    2023 newly-added thermal coal capacity forecast
    4.2    Thermal coal supply analysis and forecast
        4.2.1    2022 thermal coal supply
        4.2.2    2023 supply forecast
    4.3    2022 thermal coal stock developing trend and 2023 forecast
        4.3.1    Main producing areas
        4.3.2    Transfer ports
        4.3.3    Power utilities
        4.3.4    2023 total coal stocks forecast

5    2022 China Thermal Coal Import & Export Analysis and 2023 Forecast
    5.1    China coal and thermal coal imports
        5.1.1    2022 thermal coal imports
        5.1.2    2023 import forecast
    5.2    China coal and thermal coal exports
        5.2.1    2022 thermal coal exports
        5.2.2    2023 export forecast

6    2022 China Thermal Coal Transport Analysis and 2023 Forecast
    6.1    2022 coal transport volumes
        6.1.1 Roadway
        6.1.2 Railway
        6.1.3 Shipment of Bohai Rim ports
    6.2    2022 under-construction and expansion roadway/railway projects
        6.2.1 Under-construction and expansion railway projects
        6.2.2 Under-construction and expansion roadway projects
    6.3    2022 transport freight analysis and 2023 forecast
        6.3.1 Roadway
        6.3.2 Railway
        6.3.3 Waterway

7    2022 China Thermal Coal Price Review and 2023 Forecast
    7.1    2022 thermal coal supply-demand balance analysis
    7.2    2022 China thermal coal price trend analysis
        7.2.1    Price trends at producing areas and ports
        7.2.2    Price gaps between international coal and domestic coal
    7.3    2023 thermal coal price trend forecast
        7.3.1    Price influencing factors
        7.3.2    2023 thermal coal price forecast by month



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